21st Century Slowdown: The Historic Nature of Recent Declines in the Growth of the Immigrant Population in the United States

Migration Letters

View Publication Info
 
 
Field Value
 
Title 21st Century Slowdown: The Historic Nature of Recent Declines in the Growth of the Immigrant Population in the United States
 
Creator Norlander, Peter

 
Subject Demography; Economics; Social Sciences
immigration; demography; population; historical trends
 
Description We document that the slowdown in the growth of the immigrant population in the United States since 2000 is the largest observed using Census data since 1870. Non-parametric tests reveal that the sharp decline is similar in magnitude to changes in migration growth rates that followed the two major historical regime changes in U.S. immigration policy. Migration rates are slowing across nearly all age, sex, educational and country of origin categories that we examine. We find that the stock of adult migrants under age 30 is smaller in 2015 than in 2000, a potential precursor to a declining overall stock, as was seen around the introduction of the national quotas regime in 1920. Heterogenous changes have led to slower declines for men than women, and an increase in the relative scarcity of low-skilled labor. Approximately half of the overall decline is due to falling Mexican immigration.
 
Publisher Transnational Press London
 
Contributor
 
Date 2018-07-08
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
Research Paper
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://journal.tplondon.com/index.php/ml/article/view/1092
 
Source Migration Letters; Vol 15, No 3 (2018); 409-422
1741-8992
1741-8984
 
Language eng
 
Relation https://journal.tplondon.com/index.php/ml/article/view/1092/723
 

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