Inference on Reported Vehicular Fatal Accidents in Nigeria Using a Bayesian Model

Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Studies

View Publication Info
 
 
Field Value
 
Title Inference on Reported Vehicular Fatal Accidents in Nigeria Using a Bayesian Model
 
Creator Adelekan, Olalude Gbenga
Ugochukwu, Mbata Ahamefula
Simeon, Amusan Ajitoni
 
Subject Fatal Accident, Mapping, Empirical Bayes, Poisson-Generalized Gamma, Relative Risk
 
Description The study introduced a special case of the Poisson-Generalized Gamma empirical Bayes model to survey states in Nigeria with a higher risk of fatal accidents. Monte Carlo error and stationary dynamic trace plots were used to validate model convergence and accuracy of the posterior estimates. The main results included the disease mappings that revealed Ebonyi had the highest risk of road vehicular fatal accidents in Nigeria with a relative risk estimate of 1.4120 while Abuja had the lowest risk with a relative risk estimate 0.5711. In terms of geopolitical region, the risk of road vehicular fatal accident is highest in South-South region with a relative risk estimate of 1.1850 while North-Central had the lowest risk with a relative risk estimate of 0.7846. The study is to aid planned government programs to ameliorate vehicular road carnage in Nigeria. 
 
Publisher Al-Kindi Center for Research and Development.
 
Date 2021-06-10
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://al-kindipublisher.com/index.php/jmss/article/view/1808
10.32996/jmss.2021.2.1.6
 
Source Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Studies; Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Studies ; 53-61
2709-4200
 
Language eng
 
Relation https://al-kindipublisher.com/index.php/jmss/article/view/1808/1490
 
Rights https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
 

Contact Us

The PKP Index is an initiative of the Public Knowledge Project.

For PKP Publishing Services please use the PKP|PS contact form.

For support with PKP software we encourage users to consult our wiki for documentation and search our support forums.

For any other correspondence feel free to contact us using the PKP contact form.

Find Us

Twitter

Copyright © 2015-2018 Simon Fraser University Library