China’s economic hard landing impact on Africa: A scenario analysis

African East-Asian Affairs

View Publication Info
 
 
Field Value
 
Title China’s economic hard landing impact on Africa: A scenario analysis
 
Creator Igbinoba, Emmanuel
Hoaeb, Rodney
 
Description Shocks to aggregate commodity demand from China are having significant impact on global commodities and commodity prices. Fears persist that the economic slow-down in China might be steeper and more chaotic than anticipated and reported, as China rebalances its economy thus impacting on growth prospects across world economies. Using a scenario analysis technique, this study evaluates a risk scenario if economic growth in China falls to 4 per cent rather than the projected 6.5 per cent and its associated impact on African economies. The impact of China’s economic slowdown on African economies from an export perspective shows that there is an urgent need for African countries to undertake structural upgrading and diversifica-tion of different sectors of the economy with particular emphasis on agriculture in order to mitigate reduced demand from China.
 
Publisher Centre for Chinese Studies
 
Contributor
 
Date 2016-11-28
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://aeaa.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/179
10.7552/0-3-179
 
Source African East-Asian Affairs; No 3 (2016)
2308-8699
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://aeaa.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/179/136
 

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