Relationship between positive cases of Coronavirus and population movement in South America in 2020

Revista Arbitrada Interdisciplinaria de Ciencias de la Salud. Salud y Vida.

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Title Relationship between positive cases of Coronavirus and population movement in South America in 2020
Relación entre casos positivos de Coronavirus y movimiento poblacional en Suramérica en el 2020
 
Creator Holguin, Cristopher Agustín
Aray-Arana, Isabel Cristina
Avellan-Valdes, Shabely
Alcivar-Cevallos, Roberth
 
Subject Health Sciences
Epidemiology; coronavirus Infections; coronavirus.
Ciencias de la Salud
Epidemiología; infecciones por coronavirus; coronavirus.
 
Description The objective was to demonstrate that there is no relationship between the contagion rate and human movement. In this way, initially seeking to minimize the study area, data extracted from Ecuador at the provincial level were captured and analyzed until a more generalized study with respect to South America, where each study region was a country and not a province. In this study, a series of experiments was applied using linear regression models in 3 different variants, in type 1, type 2 movements and in a variant that uses both types of movement, this being the one that made the difference in the results. Therefore, to improve the detection time of new infected, a model was created that, using as a base an incubation period of 12 days, looked for those subsequent days with the best possible correlation in the data.
El objetivo fue demostrar que no existe relación entre la tasa de contagio y el movimiento humano. De esta forma, buscando minimizar inicialmente la zona de estudio, se capturaron y analizaron datos extraídos de Ecuador a nivel provincial hasta un estudio más generalizado con respecto a Suramérica, donde cada región de estudio era un país y no una provincia. En este estudio se aplicó una serie de experimentos utilizando modelos de regresión lineal en 3 variantes diferentes, en movimientos tipo 1, tipo 2 y en una variante que utiliza los dos tipos de movimiento, siendo este el que marcó la diferencia en los resultados. Por lo tanto, para mejorar el tiempo de detección de nuevos infectados, se creó un modelo que usando como base un periodo de incubación de 12 días buscase aquellos días posteriores con la mejor correlación posible en los datos.
 
Publisher Fundación Koinonia
 
Contributor

 
Date 2020-11-03
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Artículo evaluado por pares
 
Format text/html
application/pdf
 
Identifier http://fundacionkoinonia.com.ve/ojs/index.php/saludyvida/article/view/1029
10.35381/s.v.v4i8.1029
 
Source Revista Arbitrada Interdisciplinaria de Ciencias de la Salud. Salud y Vida; Vol. 4, Núm. 8 (4): Julio - Diciembre. 2020; 219-249
2610-8038
10.35381/s.v.v4i8
 
Language spa
 
Relation http://fundacionkoinonia.com.ve/ojs/index.php/saludyvida/article/view/1029/html
http://fundacionkoinonia.com.ve/ojs/index.php/saludyvida/article/view/1029/pdf
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Rights Copyright (c) 2020 Cristopher Agustín Holguin, Isabel Cristina Aray-Arana, Shabely Avellan-Valdes, Roberth Alcivar-Cevallos
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
 

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