COVID-19 cases prediction using regression and novel SSM model for non-converged countries

Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education

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Field Value
 
Title COVID-19 cases prediction using regression and novel SSM model for non-converged countries
 
Creator Patil, Rupali
Patel, Umang
Sarkar, Tushar
 
Subject COVID-19
Prediction
SSM
SARIMAX
Linear Regression
 
Description Anticipating the quantity of new associated or affirmed cases with novel coronavirus ailment 2019 (COVID-19) is critical in the counteraction and control of the COVID-19 flare-up. The new associated cases with COVID-19 information were gathered from 20 January 2020 to 21 July 2020. We filtered out the countries which are converging and used those for training the network. We utilized the SARIMAX, Linear regression model to anticipate new suspected COVID-19 cases for the countries which did not converge yet. We predict the curve of non-converged countries with the help of proposed Statistical SARIMAX model (SSM). We present new information investigation-based forecast results that can assist governments with planning their future activities and help clinical administrations to be more ready for what's to come. Our framework can foresee peak corona cases with an R-Squared value of 0.986 utilizing linear regression and fall of this pandemic at various levels for countries like India, US, and Brazil. We found that considering more countries for training degrades the prediction process as constraints vary from nation to nation. Thus, we expect that the outcomes referenced in this work will help individuals to better understand the possibilities of this pandemic.
 
Publisher Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia
 
Date 2020-08-01
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://jurnal.ahmar.id/index.php/asci/article/view/137
10.35877/454RI.asci137
 
Source Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education; Vol. 3 No. 1 (2021); 74-81
2685-0591
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://jurnal.ahmar.id/index.php/asci/article/view/137/113
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2021 Rupali Patil, Umang Patel, Tushar Sarkar (Author)
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
 

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