An overview of 30 days of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the state of Ceará

Rev Rene

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Title An overview of 30 days of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the state of Ceará
Panorama de 30 dias de casos confirmados de COVID-19 no estado do Ceará
 
Creator Albuquerque, Nila Larisse Silva de
Lima, Fabiane da Silva Severino
Ramos, Stéphannie Lynne Torres Costa
Soares, Paula Renata Amorim Lessa
Lopes, Márcia Maria Coelho Oliveira
 
Subject Coronavirus Infections; Betacoronavirus; Pandemics; Ecological Studies.
Infecções por Coronavirus; Betacoronavirus; Pandemias; Estudos Ecológicos.
 
Description Objective: to analyze the evolution of the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the 30 first days of transmission in the state of Ceará. Methods: ecological study of a temporal series. Measures of position and dispersion were calculated, as well as the coefficient of incidence for the first 30 days. The evolution of the number of cases was compared to the trend of advance of the disease. Results: in the 30th day there were 1,800 confirmed cases, peaking in the 23rd day. This study assumes that the measures implemented in the state started to influence the evolution of the disease in the 26th day after the first confirmed case. The incidence coefficient increased 146.5% between the 21st and the 30th days. Conclusion: the mean number of new cases consistently increased in the period analyzed, suggesting that the epidemic has not yet been controlled in the state, but is decelerating.
Objetivo: analisar a evolução do número de casos confirmados de COVID-19 nos 30 primeiros dias de transmissão no Ceará, Brasil. Métodos: estudo ecológico de séries temporais, no qual foram calculadas medidas de posição e dispersão e coeficiente de incidência para os 30 primeiros dias de COVID-19 no Ceará. A evolução do número de casos foi comparada à tendência de avanço da doença. Resultados: no 30º dia, havia confirmação de 1.800 casos, com pico no 23º dia. Presume-se que medidas de combate à COVID-19, implementadas no estado, passaram a influenciar a evolução da doença, a partir do 26º dia da primeira confirmação. O coeficiente de incidência aumentou 146,5% entre o 21º e o 30º dia. Conclusão: a média de novos casos manteve-se ascendente no período analisado, indicando que a epidemia não atingiu seu controle no estado, mas apresentou desaceleração ao que se esperava sem implementação de medidas de controle.
 
Publisher Universidade Federal do Ceará
 
Date 2020-06-18
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Texto
 
Format application/pdf
application/pdf
 
Identifier http://periodicos.ufc.br/rene/article/view/43812
10.15253/2175-6783.20202143812
 
Source Rev Rene; Vol 21 (2020): Rev Rene; e43812
Rev Rene; v. 21 (2020): Rev Rene; e43812
2175-6783
1517-3852
 
Language por
eng
 
Relation http://periodicos.ufc.br/rene/article/view/43812/100503
http://periodicos.ufc.br/rene/article/view/43812/100504
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2020 Rev Rene
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
 

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