O setor externo brasileiro no novo regime cambial

Semina: Ciências Sociais e Humanas

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Field Value
 
Title O setor externo brasileiro no novo regime cambial
The brazilian external sector in the new exchange rate regime
 
Creator Monarin, Flávia Verusca Buturi
 
Subject
Regime cambial; Balança comercial; Ajuste externo.

Exchange rate regime; trade balance; external adjustment.
 
Description O trabalho tem por objetivo identificar qual o comportamento do setor externo brasileiro após a mudança de regime cambial em 1999, procurando verificar se essa medida provocou um ajustamento externo. Para isso fez-se primeiramente uma revisão de literatura buscando perceber qual a avaliação que os economistas faziam quanto ao comportamento do câmbio e seu reflexo na balança comercial durante os primeiros anos da implantação do Real, depois se analisou a evolução da balança comercial durante os anos 1994 a 2001, com ênfase nas diferentes categorias e sua importância para um suposto retorno ao crescimento. Por fim, examina-se a formação bruta de capital fixo, no intuito de perceber as ações dos empresários brasileiros. Como conclusão, acredita-se que o Brasil ainda não realizou um ajuste externo, ficando vulnerável às variações do câmbio e a uma retomada do crescimento.    
The objective of this work is to identify the behavior of the Brazilian external sector after the change of the exchange rate regime in 1999, trying to verify if there was an external adjustment. First, a literature review was done in order to realize which was the evaluation that the economists had made about the behavior of the exchange rate and its reflection in the trade balance during the first years of the monetary system (Real – R$). After that, the evolution of the trade balance was analyzed during the years of 1994 to 2001, with emphasis on the different categories and its importance for a supposed return to its growth. Finally, the gross formation of fixed capital is examined in order to notice the Brazilian managers’ actions. As a conclusion, it is believed that Brazil has not accomplished an external adjustment yet, which makes it vulnerable to the variations of the exchange rate as well as to a recovery of its growth.  
 
Publisher Universidade Estadual de Londrina
 
Contributor

 
Date 2003-06-24
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Artigo Avaliado pelos Pares
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/seminasoc/article/view/3834
10.5433/1679-0383.2003v24n1p25
 
Source Semina: Ciências Sociais e Humanas; v. 24, n. 1 (2003); 25-32
1679-0383
1676-5443
 
Language por
 
Relation http://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/seminasoc/article/view/3834/3079
 

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